Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain's AEMET and the ECMWF, position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid's highest temperature on July 29 by projecting afternoon maxima near that threshold amid a persistent North African heat dome. This third major heatwave of 2026 has already driven regional highs into the low 40s, with dry subsiding air and clear skies favoring strong diurnal heating, though slight model spread around 38–40°C accounts for the market's secondary probabilities on those values. Spain's record-warm first half of the year provides climatological context, and traders are monitoring the final 48-hour forecast updates for any adjustments from evolving steering patterns or moisture intrusions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on July 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 29?
39°C 55%
40°C 25%
38°C 16%
37°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 29, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
16%
39°C
55%
40°C
25%
41°C
4%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 55%
40°C 25%
38°C 16%
37°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 29, 2026
34°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C
$5 Обс.
2%
37°C
$25 Обс.
5%
38°C
$44 Обс.
16%
39°C
$63 Обс.
55%
40°C
$20 Обс.
25%
41°C
$13 Обс.
4%
42°C
$13 Обс.
2%
43°C
$10 Обс.
1%
44°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain's AEMET and the ECMWF, position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid's highest temperature on July 29 by projecting afternoon maxima near that threshold amid a persistent North African heat dome. This third major heatwave of 2026 has already driven regional highs into the low 40s, with dry subsiding air and clear skies favoring strong diurnal heating, though slight model spread around 38–40°C accounts for the market's secondary probabilities on those values. Spain's record-warm first half of the year provides climatological context, and traders are monitoring the final 48-hour forecast updates for any adjustments from evolving steering patterns or moisture intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$199Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain's AEMET and the ECMWF, position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid's highest temperature on July 29 by projecting afternoon maxima near that threshold amid a persistent North African heat dome. This third major heatwave of 2026 has already driven regional highs into the low 40s, with dry subsiding air and clear skies favoring strong diurnal heating, though slight model spread around 38–40°C accounts for the market's secondary probabilities on those values. Spain's record-warm first half of the year provides climatological context, and traders are monitoring the final 48-hour forecast updates for any adjustments from evolving steering patterns or moisture intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$199Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain's AEMET and the ECMWF, position 39°C as the leading outcome for Madrid's highest temperature on July 29 by projecting afternoon maxima near that threshold amid a persistent North African heat dome. This third major heatwave of 2026 has already driven regional highs into the low 40s, with dry subsiding air and clear skies favoring strong diurnal heating, though slight model spread around 38–40°C accounts for the market's secondary probabilities on those values. Spain's record-warm first half of the year provides climatological context, and traders are monitoring the final 48-hour forecast updates for any adjustments from evolving steering patterns or moisture intrusions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання