Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 27?
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
28°C or below
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
23%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
5%
29°C
$0 Обс.
20%
30°C
$6 Обс.
23%
31°C
$0 Обс.
25%
32°C
$0 Обс.
24%
33°C
$0 Обс.
19%
34°C
$0 Обс.
5%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$10 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$26Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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