Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on July 25?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 25?
30°C 33%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
24%
30°C
33%
31°C
30%
32°C
14%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 33%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$52 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
2%
29°C
$256 Обс.
24%
30°C
$3 Обс.
33%
31°C
$16 Обс.
30%
32°C
$12 Обс.
14%
33°C
$0 Обс.
10%
34°C or higher
$26 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$359Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$359Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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