Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 23?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 23?
40°C 27%
39°C 23%
41°C 17%
38°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
7%
38°C
16%
39°C
23%
40°C
27%
41°C
17%
42°C
11%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
40°C 27%
39°C 23%
41°C 17%
38°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
34°C or below
$999 Обс.
1%
35°C
$273 Обс.
2%
36°C
$214 Обс.
5%
37°C
$324 Обс.
7%
38°C
$319 Обс.
16%
39°C
$339 Обс.
23%
40°C
$307 Обс.
27%
41°C
$610 Обс.
17%
42°C
$1,720 Обс.
11%
43°C
$139 Обс.
1%
44°C or higher
$137 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,382Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,382Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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