Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on July 23?
Lowest temperature in London on July 23?
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
18°C 19%
15°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
36%
17°C
33%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
18°C 19%
15°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
11°C or below
$32 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$253 Обс.
1%
13°C
$20 Обс.
2%
14°C
$20 Обс.
6%
15°C
$14 Обс.
9%
16°C
$34 Обс.
36%
17°C
$15 Обс.
33%
18°C
$5 Обс.
19%
19°C
$33 Обс.
5%
20°C
$32 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$158 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$616Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$616Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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