Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on July 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 21?
12°C 76%
13°C 20%
11°C 5.4%
14°C <1%
НОВЕ
$47,423 Обс.
НОВЕ
$47,423 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
76%
13°C
20%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 76%
13°C 20%
11°C 5.4%
14°C <1%
НОВЕ
$47,423 Обс.
НОВЕ
$47,423 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
7°C or below
$175 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$1,204 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$1,186 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$2,770 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$19,698 Обс.
5%
12°C
$7,845 Обс.
76%
13°C
$6,034 Обс.
20%
14°C
$5,067 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$2,590 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$419 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$459 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,423Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47,423Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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