Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 22?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 22?
33°C 35%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
35%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
$389 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$347 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$221 Обс.
1%
30°C
$77 Обс.
2%
31°C
$190 Обс.
11%
32°C
$113 Обс.
25%
33°C
$51 Обс.
35%
34°C
$2,231 Обс.
27%
35°C
$584 Обс.
6%
36°C or higher
$70 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,296Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,296Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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