Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on July 22?
14°C 32%
13°C 26%
15°C 11%
12°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
32%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 32%
13°C 26%
15°C 11%
12°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
32%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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