Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 25, with model consensus reflecting the ongoing summer heatwave that produced readings above 38°C earlier in the month and above the 1991-2020 baseline. Monsoon-driven moisture and potential thunderstorm activity across East Asia through July 26 introduce variability that could limit further intensification via cloud cover or precipitation, keeping 34–36°C as the tightly clustered outcomes. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official station measurements. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 25?
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 23%
37°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
23%
35°C
40%
36°C
27%
37°C
10%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 23%
37°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
23%
35°C
40%
36°C
27%
37°C
10%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 25, with model consensus reflecting the ongoing summer heatwave that produced readings above 38°C earlier in the month and above the 1991-2020 baseline. Monsoon-driven moisture and potential thunderstorm activity across East Asia through July 26 introduce variability that could limit further intensification via cloud cover or precipitation, keeping 34–36°C as the tightly clustered outcomes. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official station measurements. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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