Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 24?
36°C 35%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
33%
36°C
35%
37°C
17%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
30°C or below
$42 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$125 Обс.
1%
32°C
$121 Обс.
1%
33°C
$346 Обс.
2%
34°C
$950 Обс.
13%
35°C
$625 Обс.
33%
36°C
$246 Обс.
35%
37°C
$230 Обс.
17%
38°C
$112 Обс.
5%
39°C
$224 Обс.
1%
40°C or higher
$199 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,827Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,827Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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