Latest model consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF shows Madrid’s July 25 maximum settling near 29–30 °C under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating after the mid-July heatwave. Recent runs indicate slightly cooler advection of maritime air and reduced insolation from increased boundary-layer moisture, narrowing the spread between 28 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Key differentiators include precise timing of any frontal passage, urban heat-island amplification, and model resolution of local wind patterns that can add or subtract 1–2 °C at observation sites. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET briefings on July 24 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on July 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 25?
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
36%
30°C
28%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C
$11 Обс.
14%
29°C
$0 Обс.
36%
30°C
$52 Обс.
28%
31°C
$0 Обс.
13%
32°C
$0 Обс.
9%
33°C
$13 Обс.
3%
34°C
$15 Обс.
3%
35°C
$15 Обс.
2%
36°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF shows Madrid’s July 25 maximum settling near 29–30 °C under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating after the mid-July heatwave. Recent runs indicate slightly cooler advection of maritime air and reduced insolation from increased boundary-layer moisture, narrowing the spread between 28 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Key differentiators include precise timing of any frontal passage, urban heat-island amplification, and model resolution of local wind patterns that can add or subtract 1–2 °C at observation sites. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET briefings on July 24 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$116Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF shows Madrid’s July 25 maximum settling near 29–30 °C under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating after the mid-July heatwave. Recent runs indicate slightly cooler advection of maritime air and reduced insolation from increased boundary-layer moisture, narrowing the spread between 28 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Key differentiators include precise timing of any frontal passage, urban heat-island amplification, and model resolution of local wind patterns that can add or subtract 1–2 °C at observation sites. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET briefings on July 24 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$116Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF shows Madrid’s July 25 maximum settling near 29–30 °C under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating after the mid-July heatwave. Recent runs indicate slightly cooler advection of maritime air and reduced insolation from increased boundary-layer moisture, narrowing the spread between 28 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Key differentiators include precise timing of any frontal passage, urban heat-island amplification, and model resolution of local wind patterns that can add or subtract 1–2 °C at observation sites. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET briefings on July 24 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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