Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on June 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 27?
36°C 53%
35°C 42%
34°C 5.8%
37°C 2.9%
НОВЕ
$47,738 Обс.
НОВЕ
$47,738 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
42%
36°C
53%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 53%
35°C 42%
34°C 5.8%
37°C 2.9%
НОВЕ
$47,738 Обс.
НОВЕ
$47,738 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
31°C or below
$1,431 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,606 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,565 Обс.
1%
34°C
$5,563 Обс.
6%
35°C
$5,097 Обс.
42%
36°C
$10,239 Обс.
53%
37°C
$8,955 Обс.
3%
38°C
$3,665 Обс.
1%
39°C
$1,946 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$2,790 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$2,883 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,738Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47,738Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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