Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C
39%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
$140 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$68 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$68 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$119 Обс.
2%
24°C
$128 Обс.
6%
25°C
$242 Обс.
14%
26°C
$1,980 Обс.
35%
27°C
$524 Обс.
39%
28°C
$127 Обс.
6%
29°C or higher
$306 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,612Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,612Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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