Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 6?
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 6, 2026
17°C or below
$1,399 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$189 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$161 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$394 Обс.
1%
21°C
$1,099 Обс.
3%
22°C
$933 Обс.
8%
23°C
$261 Обс.
29%
24°C
$1,081 Обс.
31%
25°C
$447 Обс.
23%
26°C
$496 Обс.
5%
27°C or higher
$751 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,211Дата завершення
Jul 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,211Дата завершення
Jul 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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