Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters remain the dominant factors capping daytime heating in coastal Los Angeles on July 5, keeping official highs most likely in the low-to-mid 70s. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show only modest reduction in morning stratus, with light southwest winds and weak pressure gradients limiting afternoon warming compared to the seasonal 81°F average. Traders assign nearly identical probabilities to the 72–73°F and 74–75°F brackets because small differences in marine layer clearance timing or localized sea-surface temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two, while the risk of stronger clearing pushing readings into the upper 70s stays low. This setup aligns with typical early-July coastal moderation rather than inland peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 5?
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 34%
76-77°F 19.5%
70-71°F 6%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
5%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 34%
76-77°F 19.5%
70-71°F 6%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters remain the dominant factors capping daytime heating in coastal Los Angeles on July 5, keeping official highs most likely in the low-to-mid 70s. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show only modest reduction in morning stratus, with light southwest winds and weak pressure gradients limiting afternoon warming compared to the seasonal 81°F average. Traders assign nearly identical probabilities to the 72–73°F and 74–75°F brackets because small differences in marine layer clearance timing or localized sea-surface temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two, while the risk of stronger clearing pushing readings into the upper 70s stays low. This setup aligns with typical early-July coastal moderation rather than inland peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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