Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
24°C 37%
25°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,860 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,860 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
37%
25°C
24%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,860 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,860 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
18°C or below
$192 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$180 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$282 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,074 Обс.
3%
22°C
$298 Обс.
7%
23°C
$301 Обс.
21%
24°C
$6,939 Обс.
37%
25°C
$625 Обс.
24%
26°C
$331 Обс.
11%
27°C
$330 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$309 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,860Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,860Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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