Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on July 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 4?
25°C 30%
26°C 26%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
30%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
26°C 26%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
$62 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$15 Обс.
1%
22°C
$83 Обс.
1%
23°C
$78 Обс.
4%
24°C
$55 Обс.
18%
25°C
$245 Обс.
30%
26°C
$40 Обс.
26%
27°C
$48 Обс.
10%
28°C
$23 Обс.
4%
29°C
$117 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$120 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$885Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$885Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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