Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on July 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 4?
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
29%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
26°C or below
$1,832 Обс.
1%
27°C
$1,662 Обс.
4%
28°C
$342 Обс.
7%
29°C
$313 Обс.
24%
30°C
$79 Обс.
30%
31°C
$876 Обс.
29%
32°C
$35 Обс.
11%
33°C
$23 Обс.
2%
34°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$8 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$41 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,211Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,211Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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