Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 10%
26°C 7.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 10%
26°C 7.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 11, 2026
19°C or below
$101 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$15 Обс.
1%
21°C
$15 Обс.
1%
22°C
$254 Обс.
2%
23°C
$296 Обс.
10%
24°C
$142 Обс.
33%
25°C
$125 Обс.
27%
26°C
$15 Обс.
8%
27°C
$30 Обс.
4%
28°C
$69 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$125 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$764Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$764Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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