Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 28?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 28?
23°C 39%
24°C 36%
22°C 19%
25°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 28, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
24°C 36%
22°C 19%
25°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 28, 2026
19°C or below
$327 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$59 Обс.
1%
21°C
$112 Обс.
5%
22°C
$332 Обс.
19%
23°C
$247 Обс.
39%
24°C
$97 Обс.
36%
25°C
$192 Обс.
5%
26°C
$175 Обс.
1%
27°C
$42 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$252 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$398 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,234Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,234Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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