Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on July 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 8?
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
38°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 8, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
25%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
38°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 8, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C
$25 Обс.
1%
32°C
$62 Обс.
3%
33°C
$4 Обс.
23%
34°C
$118 Обс.
34%
35°C
$26 Обс.
25%
36°C
$0 Обс.
5%
37°C
$0 Обс.
5%
38°C
$11 Обс.
5%
39°C
$5 Обс.
1%
40°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$252Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$252Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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