India’s 2026 annual inflation outlook remains anchored near the upper end of the Reserve Bank of India’s 2–6 percent tolerance band, with market-implied odds heavily favoring outcomes above 4.50 percent. Recent monthly CPI prints have climbed modestly to 3.48 percent in April from 3.40 percent in March, driven by firmer food prices and persistent energy-cost pressures tied to geopolitical tensions. The RBI’s April monetary-policy projection of 4.6 percent for fiscal 2027, alongside Goldman Sachs’ revised 4.5–4.6 percent forecasts, has reinforced trader expectations that headline inflation will settle above 4.5 percent for the full calendar year. With the central bank reaffirming its 4 percent medium-term target and limited scope for further rate cuts amid supply-side risks, the current pricing reflects a consensus that moderate upward drift in core and food components will outweigh any near-term moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.50%+ 78%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.2%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
$60,622 Обс.
$60,622 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
10%
4.50%+
78%
4.50%+ 78%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.2%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
$60,622 Обс.
$60,622 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$806 Обс.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$525 Обс.
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 Обс.
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,764 Обс.
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 Обс.
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,340 Обс.
10%
4.50%+
$11,254 Обс.
78%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia’s 2026 annual inflation outlook remains anchored near the upper end of the Reserve Bank of India’s 2–6 percent tolerance band, with market-implied odds heavily favoring outcomes above 4.50 percent. Recent monthly CPI prints have climbed modestly to 3.48 percent in April from 3.40 percent in March, driven by firmer food prices and persistent energy-cost pressures tied to geopolitical tensions. The RBI’s April monetary-policy projection of 4.6 percent for fiscal 2027, alongside Goldman Sachs’ revised 4.5–4.6 percent forecasts, has reinforced trader expectations that headline inflation will settle above 4.5 percent for the full calendar year. With the central bank reaffirming its 4 percent medium-term target and limited scope for further rate cuts amid supply-side risks, the current pricing reflects a consensus that moderate upward drift in core and food components will outweigh any near-term moderation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,622Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia’s 2026 annual inflation outlook remains anchored near the upper end of the Reserve Bank of India’s 2–6 percent tolerance band, with market-implied odds heavily favoring outcomes above 4.50 percent. Recent monthly CPI prints have climbed modestly to 3.48 percent in April from 3.40 percent in March, driven by firmer food prices and persistent energy-cost pressures tied to geopolitical tensions. The RBI’s April monetary-policy projection of 4.6 percent for fiscal 2027, alongside Goldman Sachs’ revised 4.5–4.6 percent forecasts, has reinforced trader expectations that headline inflation will settle above 4.5 percent for the full calendar year. With the central bank reaffirming its 4 percent medium-term target and limited scope for further rate cuts amid supply-side risks, the current pricing reflects a consensus that moderate upward drift in core and food components will outweigh any near-term moderation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Обсяг
$60,622Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India’s 2026 annual inflation outlook remains anchored near the upper end of the Reserve Bank of India’s 2–6 percent tolerance band, with market-implied odds heavily favoring outcomes above 4.50 percent. Recent monthly CPI prints have climbed modestly to 3.48 percent in April from 3.40 percent in March, driven by firmer food prices and persistent energy-cost pressures tied to geopolitical tensions. The RBI’s April monetary-policy projection of 4.6 percent for fiscal 2027, alongside Goldman Sachs’ revised 4.5–4.6 percent forecasts, has reinforced trader expectations that headline inflation will settle above 4.5 percent for the full calendar year. With the central bank reaffirming its 4 percent medium-term target and limited scope for further rate cuts amid supply-side risks, the current pricing reflects a consensus that moderate upward drift in core and food components will outweigh any near-term moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання