The Israel-Hamas ceasefire, launched in October 2025 via President Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan, saw a declarative shift to Phase II in January 2026, emphasizing Hamas demilitarization, Israeli troop withdrawal from Gaza, technocratic Palestinian governance via the National Committee for Gaza Administration, and reconstruction. Progress stalled amid mid-April Cairo talks that yielded no tangible advances, with Hamas rejecting forward movement until Israel fully adheres to Phase I commitments like aid delivery and partial pullbacks, while accusing it of violations including strikes killing over 450 Gazans since the truce began. UN briefings on May 5 highlighted the increasingly fragile truce and ongoing diplomacy, including mediator pushes for disarmament talks, leaving Phase II in limbo despite US efforts to build momentum through a Board of Peace and executive structures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,748,282 Обс.
30 червня
10%
$2,748,282 Обс.
30 червня
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 17, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Israel-Hamas ceasefire, launched in October 2025 via President Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan, saw a declarative shift to Phase II in January 2026, emphasizing Hamas demilitarization, Israeli troop withdrawal from Gaza, technocratic Palestinian governance via the National Committee for Gaza Administration, and reconstruction. Progress stalled amid mid-April Cairo talks that yielded no tangible advances, with Hamas rejecting forward movement until Israel fully adheres to Phase I commitments like aid delivery and partial pullbacks, while accusing it of violations including strikes killing over 450 Gazans since the truce began. UN briefings on May 5 highlighted the increasingly fragile truce and ongoing diplomacy, including mediator pushes for disarmament talks, leaving Phase II in limbo despite US efforts to build momentum through a Board of Peace and executive structures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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