Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$758,654 Обс.
Oct 30, 2025
31 грудня
9%
$758,654 Обс.
31 грудня
$109,023 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$758,654Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$758,654Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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