Israeli military operations in Gaza center on incremental expansion beyond the October 2025 ceasefire lines, with control rising from 53% to around 60% by early June 2026 and Prime Minister Netanyahu directing further advances toward 70%. In May, airstrikes reached the highest monthly total since the ceasefire, targeting Hamas commanders and infrastructure while forces pushed westward along the Yellow Line through berms, demolitions, and positioning. Stalled Cairo talks on phase-two implementation and Hamas disarmament continue amid reports of rearmament concerns and aid-distribution incidents. These developments shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with any breakdown in negotiations or new Hamas actions likely to influence near-term probabilities for a larger ground operation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$695,662 Обс.
Oct 31, 2025
June 30
1%
December 31
31%
$695,662 Обс.
June 30
$171,109 Обс.
1%
December 31
$47,810 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza center on incremental expansion beyond the October 2025 ceasefire lines, with control rising from 53% to around 60% by early June 2026 and Prime Minister Netanyahu directing further advances toward 70%. In May, airstrikes reached the highest monthly total since the ceasefire, targeting Hamas commanders and infrastructure while forces pushed westward along the Yellow Line through berms, demolitions, and positioning. Stalled Cairo talks on phase-two implementation and Hamas disarmament continue amid reports of rearmament concerns and aid-distribution incidents. These developments shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with any breakdown in negotiations or new Hamas actions likely to influence near-term probabilities for a larger ground operation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$695,662Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza center on incremental expansion beyond the October 2025 ceasefire lines, with control rising from 53% to around 60% by early June 2026 and Prime Minister Netanyahu directing further advances toward 70%. In May, airstrikes reached the highest monthly total since the ceasefire, targeting Hamas commanders and infrastructure while forces pushed westward along the Yellow Line through berms, demolitions, and positioning. Stalled Cairo talks on phase-two implementation and Hamas disarmament continue amid reports of rearmament concerns and aid-distribution incidents. These developments shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with any breakdown in negotiations or new Hamas actions likely to influence near-term probabilities for a larger ground operation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$695,662Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in Gaza center on incremental expansion beyond the October 2025 ceasefire lines, with control rising from 53% to around 60% by early June 2026 and Prime Minister Netanyahu directing further advances toward 70%. In May, airstrikes reached the highest monthly total since the ceasefire, targeting Hamas commanders and infrastructure while forces pushed westward along the Yellow Line through berms, demolitions, and positioning. Stalled Cairo talks on phase-two implementation and Hamas disarmament continue amid reports of rearmament concerns and aid-distribution incidents. These developments shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with any breakdown in negotiations or new Hamas actions likely to influence near-term probabilities for a larger ground operation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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