Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale operations in Gaza if Hamas fails to disarm under the October 2025 ceasefire framework, with military sources describing an additional round of fighting as nearly inevitable. In recent weeks, Israeli forces have steadily advanced the demarcation line westward, expanding territorial control from roughly 53 percent to as much as 64 percent of the enclave while conducting targeted strikes and troop movements. These developments occur against a backdrop of stalled diplomatic efforts and Hamas’s reported rebuilding of capabilities, with attention partially diverted by concurrent regional tensions involving Iran. Traders assessing the likelihood of a major ground offensive—defined by large-scale troop entries into previously uncontrolled areas—monitor statements from Israel’s security cabinet and General Staff for signs of imminent escalation within any specified resolution window.