Kansas's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 16-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate hold and governor win. Incumbent Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton by roughly 4-5 points in post-primary polling, consistent with the seat's Likely Republican rating and historical base rates for the state. The open governor race after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly's tenure creates more uncertainty, with Republican Senate President Ty Masterson facing Democrat Cindy Holscher in a contest rated Lean or Tilt Republican. Recent August primaries settled the fields without major disruptions, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout among suburban moderates, campaign spending, and any national midterm shifts. Late developments such as strong polling surges or key endorsements could widen separation between the leading Republican sweep outcome and split-ticket possibilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоReps sweep 60%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 28%
Dems sweep 14%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
60%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
28%
Dems sweep
14%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
2%
Reps sweep 60%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 28%
Dems sweep 14%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
$570 Обс.
60%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$90 Обс.
28%
Dems sweep
$14 Обс.
14%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$47 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Kansas's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 16-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate hold and governor win. Incumbent Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton by roughly 4-5 points in post-primary polling, consistent with the seat's Likely Republican rating and historical base rates for the state. The open governor race after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly's tenure creates more uncertainty, with Republican Senate President Ty Masterson facing Democrat Cindy Holscher in a contest rated Lean or Tilt Republican. Recent August primaries settled the fields without major disruptions, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout among suburban moderates, campaign spending, and any national midterm shifts. Late developments such as strong polling surges or key endorsements could widen separation between the leading Republican sweep outcome and split-ticket possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$720Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Kansas's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 16-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate hold and governor win. Incumbent Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton by roughly 4-5 points in post-primary polling, consistent with the seat's Likely Republican rating and historical base rates for the state. The open governor race after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly's tenure creates more uncertainty, with Republican Senate President Ty Masterson facing Democrat Cindy Holscher in a contest rated Lean or Tilt Republican. Recent August primaries settled the fields without major disruptions, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout among suburban moderates, campaign spending, and any national midterm shifts. Late developments such as strong polling surges or key endorsements could widen separation between the leading Republican sweep outcome and split-ticket possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$720Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kansas's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 16-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate hold and governor win. Incumbent Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton by roughly 4-5 points in post-primary polling, consistent with the seat's Likely Republican rating and historical base rates for the state. The open governor race after term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly's tenure creates more uncertainty, with Republican Senate President Ty Masterson facing Democrat Cindy Holscher in a contest rated Lean or Tilt Republican. Recent August primaries settled the fields without major disruptions, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout among suburban moderates, campaign spending, and any national midterm shifts. Late developments such as strong polling surges or key endorsements could widen separation between the leading Republican sweep outcome and split-ticket possibilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання