**Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account (@khamenei_ir) has shown low and irregular posting activity since his death in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes.** The account, now managed posthumously with a “martyred leader” bio, primarily reposts archival statements rather than issuing new content. Recent examples include isolated posts on June 11 and June 7, 2026, with earlier activity in May occurring at similar sparse intervals. No major diplomatic, military, or internal Iranian developments in the past 30 days have prompted increased output. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (45%) to fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window, with neighboring bins clustered near 25–27% reflecting expectations of continued modest volume consistent with the account’s established pattern.