Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week, fueled by SpaceX satellite milestones and real-time political commentary, has anchored trader sentiment around the 160–199 tweet range. Partial counts through June 14 show roughly 20 daily posts, placing the period on track for totals that favor the tightly contested 160–179 and 180–199 brackets at 34.6% and 30.5% implied probability. Recent precedent from the prior week’s 200-plus volume keeps higher bins in play, while the short remaining window limits dramatic swings unless major news events trigger a surge. Market participants weigh consistent engagement patterns against the unpredictability of breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено160-179 34.6%
180-199 31%
140-159 13.1%
200-219 13%
$3,869,657 Обс.
$3,869,657 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
120-139
1%
140-159
13%
160-179
35%
180-199
31%
200-219
13%
220-239
4%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 34.6%
180-199 31%
140-159 13.1%
200-219 13%
$3,869,657 Обс.
$3,869,657 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
120-139
$359,970 Обс.
1%
140-159
$256,666 Обс.
13%
160-179
$149,720 Обс.
35%
180-199
$137,275 Обс.
31%
200-219
$151,404 Обс.
13%
220-239
$157,024 Обс.
4%
240-259
$140,077 Обс.
1%
260-279
$140,014 Обс.
<1%
280-299
$136,234 Обс.
<1%
300-319
$165,290 Обс.
<1%
320-339
$163,953 Обс.
<1%
340-359
$125,368 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$127,949 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$142,289 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$98,065 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$74,830 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$58,625 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$136,818 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$87,058 Обс.
<1%
500+
$160,416 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week, fueled by SpaceX satellite milestones and real-time political commentary, has anchored trader sentiment around the 160–199 tweet range. Partial counts through June 14 show roughly 20 daily posts, placing the period on track for totals that favor the tightly contested 160–179 and 180–199 brackets at 34.6% and 30.5% implied probability. Recent precedent from the prior week’s 200-plus volume keeps higher bins in play, while the short remaining window limits dramatic swings unless major news events trigger a surge. Market participants weigh consistent engagement patterns against the unpredictability of breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,869,657Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week, fueled by SpaceX satellite milestones and real-time political commentary, has anchored trader sentiment around the 160–199 tweet range. Partial counts through June 14 show roughly 20 daily posts, placing the period on track for totals that favor the tightly contested 160–179 and 180–199 brackets at 34.6% and 30.5% implied probability. Recent precedent from the prior week’s 200-plus volume keeps higher bins in play, while the short remaining window limits dramatic swings unless major news events trigger a surge. Market participants weigh consistent engagement patterns against the unpredictability of breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$3,869,657Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week, fueled by SpaceX satellite milestones and real-time political commentary, has anchored trader sentiment around the 160–199 tweet range. Partial counts through June 14 show roughly 20 daily posts, placing the period on track for totals that favor the tightly contested 160–179 and 180–199 brackets at 34.6% and 30.5% implied probability. Recent precedent from the prior week’s 200-plus volume keeps higher bins in play, while the short remaining window limits dramatic swings unless major news events trigger a surge. Market participants weigh consistent engagement patterns against the unpredictability of breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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