Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
43-47m 96.6%
39-43m 3.4%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$330,942 Обс.
$330,942 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
<35m
<1%
35-39m
<1%
39-43m
3%
43-47m
97%
>47m
<1%
43-47m 96.6%
39-43m 3.4%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$330,942 Обс.
$330,942 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
<35m
$35,828 Обс.
<1%
35-39m
$39,504 Обс.
<1%
39-43m
$83,095 Обс.
3%
43-47m
$57,528 Обс.
97%
>47m
$114,987 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$330,942Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$330,942Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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