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icon for Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Політика·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Політика·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Jun 19

Jun 23

Jun 26

Jun 19

Jun 23

Jun 26

TWEET COUNT
0
Залишилось
TWEETS
0
Залишилось

<5 79%

5-9 5%

15-19 5%

40-44 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<5 79%

5-9 5%

15-19 5%

40-44 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<5

$831 Обс.

79%

5-9

$0 Обс.

5%

10-14

$0 Обс.

4%

15-19

$20 Обс.

5%

20-24

$75 Обс.

3%

25-29

$60 Обс.

3%

30-34

$131 Обс.

3%

35-39

$166 Обс.

2%

40-44

$79 Обс.

4%

45-49

$5 Обс.

1%

50-54

$39 Обс.

3%

55-59

$39 Обс.

2%

60+

$25 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during June 19–26, 2026, at 78% implied probability.** This reflects his established pattern of infrequent, burst-style posting tied to major geopolitical developments rather than routine daily updates. Similar markets for early June weeks resolved to sub-five outcomes amid comparable conditions. The current environment features no acute escalations or scheduled high-impact events likely to trigger volume, following earlier 2026 conflict phases and a June 4 statement on national unity after battlefield developments. Official accounts, including those associated with the Supreme Leader's office, typically issue statements on X during crises involving regional security, sanctions, or diplomatic flashpoints, but maintain lower frequency otherwise. Historical precedent shows managed communications and selective timing, limiting baseline activity in stable periods. Traders price the low-volume outcome highest because no catalysts within the resolution window appear poised to drive repeated posts, while higher brackets remain thinly traded due to the narrow historical window for surges. Resolution depends on verifiable activity from verified profiles linked to Khamenei.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,471
Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during June 19–26, 2026, at 78% implied probability.** This reflects his established pattern of infrequent, burst-style posting tied to major geopolitical developments rather than routine daily updates. Similar markets for early June weeks resolved to sub-five outcomes amid comparable conditions. The current environment features no acute escalations or scheduled high-impact events likely to trigger volume, following earlier 2026 conflict phases and a June 4 statement on national unity after battlefield developments. Official accounts, including those associated with the Supreme Leader's office, typically issue statements on X during crises involving regional security, sanctions, or diplomatic flashpoints, but maintain lower frequency otherwise. Historical precedent shows managed communications and selective timing, limiting baseline activity in stable periods. Traders price the low-volume outcome highest because no catalysts within the resolution window appear poised to drive repeated posts, while higher brackets remain thinly traded due to the narrow historical window for surges. Resolution depends on verifiable activity from verified profiles linked to Khamenei.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,471
Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<5» з 79%, далі «5-9» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?» — «<5» з 79%. Наступний — «5-9» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.