Kroger's March 2026 guidance positions Q1 identical sales without fuel near the low end of its full-year 1.0%-2.0% target, reflecting an approximately 130 basis point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act's impact on pharmacy reimbursements alongside egg price deflation. This outlook aligns with the 43% market-implied probability on 1%-1.5% growth, as traders incorporate these near-term pressures while noting underlying momentum in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories from fiscal 2025's 2.9% identical sales increase. The elevated 27.5% odds on sub-1% outcomes capture potential for softer volume trends, though the company highlighted improving unit growth on a two-year stack basis. Upcoming Q1 earnings will provide the key catalyst for any repricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1%–1.5% 43%
<1% 28%
1.5%–2% 13.1%
2%+ 11.2%
$74,815 Обс.
$74,815 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
<1%
28%
1%–1.5%
43%
1.5%–2%
13%
2%+
11%
1%–1.5% 43%
<1% 28%
1.5%–2% 13.1%
2%+ 11.2%
$74,815 Обс.
$74,815 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
<1%
$19,855 Обс.
28%
1%–1.5%
$18,354 Обс.
43%
1.5%–2%
$19,787 Обс.
13%
2%+
$16,819 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Kroger's March 2026 guidance positions Q1 identical sales without fuel near the low end of its full-year 1.0%-2.0% target, reflecting an approximately 130 basis point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act's impact on pharmacy reimbursements alongside egg price deflation. This outlook aligns with the 43% market-implied probability on 1%-1.5% growth, as traders incorporate these near-term pressures while noting underlying momentum in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories from fiscal 2025's 2.9% identical sales increase. The elevated 27.5% odds on sub-1% outcomes capture potential for softer volume trends, though the company highlighted improving unit growth on a two-year stack basis. Upcoming Q1 earnings will provide the key catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$74,815Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Kroger's March 2026 guidance positions Q1 identical sales without fuel near the low end of its full-year 1.0%-2.0% target, reflecting an approximately 130 basis point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act's impact on pharmacy reimbursements alongside egg price deflation. This outlook aligns with the 43% market-implied probability on 1%-1.5% growth, as traders incorporate these near-term pressures while noting underlying momentum in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories from fiscal 2025's 2.9% identical sales increase. The elevated 27.5% odds on sub-1% outcomes capture potential for softer volume trends, though the company highlighted improving unit growth on a two-year stack basis. Upcoming Q1 earnings will provide the key catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Обсяг
$74,815Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kroger's March 2026 guidance positions Q1 identical sales without fuel near the low end of its full-year 1.0%-2.0% target, reflecting an approximately 130 basis point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act's impact on pharmacy reimbursements alongside egg price deflation. This outlook aligns with the 43% market-implied probability on 1%-1.5% growth, as traders incorporate these near-term pressures while noting underlying momentum in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories from fiscal 2025's 2.9% identical sales increase. The elevated 27.5% odds on sub-1% outcomes capture potential for softer volume trends, though the company highlighted improving unit growth on a two-year stack basis. Upcoming Q1 earnings will provide the key catalyst for any repricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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