Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЗакриття IPO SpaceX Ринкова капіталізація
Закриття IPO SpaceX Ринкова капіталізація
$1,972,915 Обс.
$1,972,915 Обс.
<1,0 трлн
5%
1,0Т–1,5Т
9%
1,5–2,0 трлн
27%
2,0–2,5 трлн
28%
2,5T-3,0T
22%
3,0Т–3,5Т
9%
3,5 трлн+
2%
Жодного IPO до 2028 року
2%
$1,972,915 Обс.
$1,972,915 Обс.
<1,0 трлн
$73,327 Обс.
5%
1,0Т–1,5Т
$64,077 Обс.
9%
1,5–2,0 трлн
$74,313 Обс.
27%
2,0–2,5 трлн
$99,133 Обс.
28%
2,5T-3,0T
$820,026 Обс.
22%
3,0Т–3,5Т
$488,877 Обс.
9%
3,5 трлн+
$72,081 Обс.
2%
Жодного IPO до 2028 року
$281,081 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,972,915Ринок відкрито
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,972,915Ринок відкрито
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання