Cerebras Systems priced its initial public offering at $185 per share on May 13, implying a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion—nearly double its $23 billion S-1 target and topping the upsized $150–$160 range amid orders exceeding 20x available shares. Polymarket's trader consensus prices the $50B+ closing market cap at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's robust 2025 fundamentals ($510 million revenue, $238 million profit), wafer-scale engine differentiation versus Nvidia, and surging inference demand from partners like OpenAI. This reflects skin-in-the-game optimism on first-day trading pop, akin to recent AI infrastructure debuts. Realistic challenges include equity market volatility, post-IPO profit-taking, or macroeconomic risk-off sentiment pressuring Nasdaq open on May 14.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$50B+ 96.5%
$40B–$50B 2.8%
$30B–$40B <1%
$20B–$30B <1%
$143,375 Обс.
$143,375 Обс.
<$20B
<1%
$20B–$30B
<1%
$30B–$40B
1%
$40B–$50B
3%
$50B+
97%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$50B+ 96.5%
$40B–$50B 2.8%
$30B–$40B <1%
$20B–$30B <1%
$143,375 Обс.
$143,375 Обс.
<$20B
<1%
$20B–$30B
<1%
$30B–$40B
1%
$40B–$50B
3%
$50B+
97%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cerebras Systems priced its initial public offering at $185 per share on May 13, implying a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion—nearly double its $23 billion S-1 target and topping the upsized $150–$160 range amid orders exceeding 20x available shares. Polymarket's trader consensus prices the $50B+ closing market cap at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's robust 2025 fundamentals ($510 million revenue, $238 million profit), wafer-scale engine differentiation versus Nvidia, and surging inference demand from partners like OpenAI. This reflects skin-in-the-game optimism on first-day trading pop, akin to recent AI infrastructure debuts. Realistic challenges include equity market volatility, post-IPO profit-taking, or macroeconomic risk-off sentiment pressuring Nasdaq open on May 14.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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