OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its $852 billion private valuation from the March $122 billion round remain the dominant drivers of trader positioning on the company’s eventual IPO market cap. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion target has contributed to a potential delay into 2027, with a recent $7 billion secondary tender executed at the $852 billion level underscoring sustained private-market demand. Annualized revenue estimates near $25 billion, fueled by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, support elevated multiples, yet persistent losses and elevated capital needs introduce uncertainty around achievable public pricing. Comparable AI and mega-cap tech listings, Treasury yield levels, and broader risk appetite will shape final valuation upon listing, with any acceleration in 2026 filings or revised guidance likely to move implied probabilities quickly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,518,958 Обс.
$1,518,958 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
$800 млрд
89%
$1 трлн
76%
$1,2 трлн
61%
$1,4 трлн
45%
$1,6 трлн
41%
$1,518,958 Обс.
$1,518,958 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
$800 млрд
$107,212 Обс.
89%
$1 трлн
$1,046,720 Обс.
76%
$1,2 трлн
$248,684 Обс.
61%
$1,4 трлн
$67,569 Обс.
45%
$1,6 трлн
$48,773 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its $852 billion private valuation from the March $122 billion round remain the dominant drivers of trader positioning on the company’s eventual IPO market cap. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion target has contributed to a potential delay into 2027, with a recent $7 billion secondary tender executed at the $852 billion level underscoring sustained private-market demand. Annualized revenue estimates near $25 billion, fueled by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, support elevated multiples, yet persistent losses and elevated capital needs introduce uncertainty around achievable public pricing. Comparable AI and mega-cap tech listings, Treasury yield levels, and broader risk appetite will shape final valuation upon listing, with any acceleration in 2026 filings or revised guidance likely to move implied probabilities quickly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,518,958Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its $852 billion private valuation from the March $122 billion round remain the dominant drivers of trader positioning on the company’s eventual IPO market cap. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion target has contributed to a potential delay into 2027, with a recent $7 billion secondary tender executed at the $852 billion level underscoring sustained private-market demand. Annualized revenue estimates near $25 billion, fueled by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, support elevated multiples, yet persistent losses and elevated capital needs introduce uncertainty around achievable public pricing. Comparable AI and mega-cap tech listings, Treasury yield levels, and broader risk appetite will shape final valuation upon listing, with any acceleration in 2026 filings or revised guidance likely to move implied probabilities quickly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Обсяг
$1,518,958Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its $852 billion private valuation from the March $122 billion round remain the dominant drivers of trader positioning on the company’s eventual IPO market cap. Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion target has contributed to a potential delay into 2027, with a recent $7 billion secondary tender executed at the $852 billion level underscoring sustained private-market demand. Annualized revenue estimates near $25 billion, fueled by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, support elevated multiples, yet persistent losses and elevated capital needs introduce uncertainty around achievable public pricing. Comparable AI and mega-cap tech listings, Treasury yield levels, and broader risk appetite will shape final valuation upon listing, with any acceleration in 2026 filings or revised guidance likely to move implied probabilities quickly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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