OpenAI's latest private funding round valuing the company at $852 billion has reinforced trader expectations for a substantial IPO market capitalization, with the 1.5 trillion-plus outcome commanding 67.9 percent implied probability amid surging AI demand and revenue trajectories. Recent preparations, including discussions of a late-2026 filing potentially raising at least $60 billion, reflect institutional interest in capturing the company's position as a frontier AI leader, though internal tensions over timeline aggressiveness and a possible shift into 2027 have kept the no-IPO-by-end-2027 scenario at 19 percent. Market-implied odds also price in continued valuation expansion from current levels, driven by competitive positioning and macroeconomic tailwinds favoring high-growth tech, while lower-range outcomes remain discounted pending clearer regulatory and earnings visibility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.5T+ 68.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 20%
750B–1T 10%
1T–1.25T 9%
$16,814 Обс.
$16,814 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
6%
500–750B
9%
750B–1T
22%
1T–1.25T
30%
1.25T–1.5T
7%
1.5T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
20%
1.5T+ 68.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 20%
750B–1T 10%
1T–1.25T 9%
$16,814 Обс.
$16,814 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$171 Обс.
6%
500–750B
$339 Обс.
9%
750B–1T
$473 Обс.
22%
1T–1.25T
$3,249 Обс.
30%
1.25T–1.5T
$530 Обс.
7%
1.5T+
$484 Обс.
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$11,568 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's latest private funding round valuing the company at $852 billion has reinforced trader expectations for a substantial IPO market capitalization, with the 1.5 trillion-plus outcome commanding 67.9 percent implied probability amid surging AI demand and revenue trajectories. Recent preparations, including discussions of a late-2026 filing potentially raising at least $60 billion, reflect institutional interest in capturing the company's position as a frontier AI leader, though internal tensions over timeline aggressiveness and a possible shift into 2027 have kept the no-IPO-by-end-2027 scenario at 19 percent. Market-implied odds also price in continued valuation expansion from current levels, driven by competitive positioning and macroeconomic tailwinds favoring high-growth tech, while lower-range outcomes remain discounted pending clearer regulatory and earnings visibility.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,814Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's latest private funding round valuing the company at $852 billion has reinforced trader expectations for a substantial IPO market capitalization, with the 1.5 trillion-plus outcome commanding 67.9 percent implied probability amid surging AI demand and revenue trajectories. Recent preparations, including discussions of a late-2026 filing potentially raising at least $60 billion, reflect institutional interest in capturing the company's position as a frontier AI leader, though internal tensions over timeline aggressiveness and a possible shift into 2027 have kept the no-IPO-by-end-2027 scenario at 19 percent. Market-implied odds also price in continued valuation expansion from current levels, driven by competitive positioning and macroeconomic tailwinds favoring high-growth tech, while lower-range outcomes remain discounted pending clearer regulatory and earnings visibility.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$16,814Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's latest private funding round valuing the company at $852 billion has reinforced trader expectations for a substantial IPO market capitalization, with the 1.5 trillion-plus outcome commanding 67.9 percent implied probability amid surging AI demand and revenue trajectories. Recent preparations, including discussions of a late-2026 filing potentially raising at least $60 billion, reflect institutional interest in capturing the company's position as a frontier AI leader, though internal tensions over timeline aggressiveness and a possible shift into 2027 have kept the no-IPO-by-end-2027 scenario at 19 percent. Market-implied odds also price in continued valuation expansion from current levels, driven by competitive positioning and macroeconomic tailwinds favoring high-growth tech, while lower-range outcomes remain discounted pending clearer regulatory and earnings visibility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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