OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and on track for parity with consumer segments by year-end, underpins the leading 36.3 percent implied probability for a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, combined with confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker preparations targeting up to $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations near or above that threshold despite a June shift toward a potential 2027 debut. Market-implied odds for the $1.25–1.5 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion brackets reflect consensus on sustained AI-sector momentum and OpenAI’s competitive positioning, while the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 incorporates execution risks around profitability and regulatory scrutiny ahead of any listing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.5T+ 36.1%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 21.0%
750B–1T 11%
$89,170 Обс.
$89,170 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
11%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
23%
1.5T+
36%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 36.1%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 21.0%
750B–1T 11%
$89,170 Обс.
$89,170 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$6,134 Обс.
1%
500–750B
$8,207 Обс.
3%
750B–1T
$9,178 Обс.
11%
1T–1.25T
$13,974 Обс.
21%
1.25T–1.5T
$8,540 Обс.
23%
1.5T+
$23,804 Обс.
36%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$19,333 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and on track for parity with consumer segments by year-end, underpins the leading 36.3 percent implied probability for a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, combined with confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker preparations targeting up to $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations near or above that threshold despite a June shift toward a potential 2027 debut. Market-implied odds for the $1.25–1.5 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion brackets reflect consensus on sustained AI-sector momentum and OpenAI’s competitive positioning, while the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 incorporates execution risks around profitability and regulatory scrutiny ahead of any listing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$89,170Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and on track for parity with consumer segments by year-end, underpins the leading 36.3 percent implied probability for a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, combined with confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker preparations targeting up to $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations near or above that threshold despite a June shift toward a potential 2027 debut. Market-implied odds for the $1.25–1.5 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion brackets reflect consensus on sustained AI-sector momentum and OpenAI’s competitive positioning, while the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 incorporates execution risks around profitability and regulatory scrutiny ahead of any listing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$89,170Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and on track for parity with consumer segments by year-end, underpins the leading 36.3 percent implied probability for a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, combined with confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker preparations targeting up to $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations near or above that threshold despite a June shift toward a potential 2027 debut. Market-implied odds for the $1.25–1.5 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion brackets reflect consensus on sustained AI-sector momentum and OpenAI’s competitive positioning, while the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 incorporates execution risks around profitability and regulatory scrutiny ahead of any listing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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