OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor current trader consensus around elevated post-IPO market caps. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and outpacing comparable growth at Alphabet and Meta, supports implied probabilities favoring a $1.25 trillion–plus close, while the 9 percent chance of no listing by end-2027 reflects ongoing profitability shortfalls and management’s reported preference for delaying until a $1 trillion-plus target is achievable. Upcoming catalysts include underwriter feedback from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley plus any further SEC disclosures that could refine timing and pricing expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$104,708 Обс.
$104,708 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9%
1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$104,708 Обс.
$104,708 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,050 Обс.
1%
500–750B
$9,889 Обс.
2%
750B–1T
$10,725 Обс.
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 Обс.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,346 Обс.
20%
1.5T+
$27,941 Обс.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,650 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor current trader consensus around elevated post-IPO market caps. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and outpacing comparable growth at Alphabet and Meta, supports implied probabilities favoring a $1.25 trillion–plus close, while the 9 percent chance of no listing by end-2027 reflects ongoing profitability shortfalls and management’s reported preference for delaying until a $1 trillion-plus target is achievable. Upcoming catalysts include underwriter feedback from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley plus any further SEC disclosures that could refine timing and pricing expectations.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$104,708Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor current trader consensus around elevated post-IPO market caps. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and outpacing comparable growth at Alphabet and Meta, supports implied probabilities favoring a $1.25 trillion–plus close, while the 9 percent chance of no listing by end-2027 reflects ongoing profitability shortfalls and management’s reported preference for delaying until a $1 trillion-plus target is achievable. Upcoming catalysts include underwriter feedback from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley plus any further SEC disclosures that could refine timing and pricing expectations.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$104,708Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor current trader consensus around elevated post-IPO market caps. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent and outpacing comparable growth at Alphabet and Meta, supports implied probabilities favoring a $1.25 trillion–plus close, while the 9 percent chance of no listing by end-2027 reflects ongoing profitability shortfalls and management’s reported preference for delaying until a $1 trillion-plus target is achievable. Upcoming catalysts include underwriter feedback from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley plus any further SEC disclosures that could refine timing and pricing expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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