OpenAI’s $1 trillion valuation target amid a confidential SEC filing and deferred IPO timeline continues to anchor trader positioning across the valuation brackets. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion raised, yet heavy 2026 losses near $14 billion and a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate create tension between growth momentum and profitability milestones. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion, reflecting uncertainty over whether 2027 listing conditions or interim revenue inflection will support a premium to recent private marks versus dilution from comparable AI floats like Anthropic. Key swing factors include infrastructure spend commitments and broader tech IPO reception following SpaceX volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.3%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,675 Обс.
$123,675 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.3%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,675 Обс.
$123,675 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$15,033 Обс.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,043 Обс.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,912 Обс.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,070 Обс.
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Обс.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Обс.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Обс.
6%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s $1 trillion valuation target amid a confidential SEC filing and deferred IPO timeline continues to anchor trader positioning across the valuation brackets. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion raised, yet heavy 2026 losses near $14 billion and a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate create tension between growth momentum and profitability milestones. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion, reflecting uncertainty over whether 2027 listing conditions or interim revenue inflection will support a premium to recent private marks versus dilution from comparable AI floats like Anthropic. Key swing factors include infrastructure spend commitments and broader tech IPO reception following SpaceX volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$123,675Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s $1 trillion valuation target amid a confidential SEC filing and deferred IPO timeline continues to anchor trader positioning across the valuation brackets. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion raised, yet heavy 2026 losses near $14 billion and a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate create tension between growth momentum and profitability milestones. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion, reflecting uncertainty over whether 2027 listing conditions or interim revenue inflection will support a premium to recent private marks versus dilution from comparable AI floats like Anthropic. Key swing factors include infrastructure spend commitments and broader tech IPO reception following SpaceX volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$123,675Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s $1 trillion valuation target amid a confidential SEC filing and deferred IPO timeline continues to anchor trader positioning across the valuation brackets. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion raised, yet heavy 2026 losses near $14 billion and a roughly $24 billion annualized revenue run rate create tension between growth momentum and profitability milestones. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion, reflecting uncertainty over whether 2027 listing conditions or interim revenue inflection will support a premium to recent private marks versus dilution from comparable AI floats like Anthropic. Key swing factors include infrastructure spend commitments and broader tech IPO reception following SpaceX volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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