Polymarket traders' consensus favors a $50-60 billion raise (37% implied probability) for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23%) and 80-90 billion (19%) close behind, signaling caution despite the company's April S-1 filing targeting $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—up sharply from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Starlink's revenue surge to $15-16 billion in 2025 underpins optimism, but recent disclosures of Elon Musk's dual-class shares granting 10x voting power, eroded shareholder protections, and hundreds of billions in planned capex for unproven Starship and orbital AI data centers have heightened regulatory exposure and execution risks. Early June roadshows and potential SEC scrutiny loom as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$138,939 Обс.
$138,939 Обс.
<40B
12%
40-50B
6%
50-60B
38%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
23%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
7%
100-110B
3%
110-120B
4%
120B+
9%
$138,939 Обс.
$138,939 Обс.
<40B
12%
40-50B
6%
50-60B
38%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
23%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
7%
100-110B
3%
110-120B
4%
120B+
9%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' consensus favors a $50-60 billion raise (37% implied probability) for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23%) and 80-90 billion (19%) close behind, signaling caution despite the company's April S-1 filing targeting $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—up sharply from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Starlink's revenue surge to $15-16 billion in 2025 underpins optimism, but recent disclosures of Elon Musk's dual-class shares granting 10x voting power, eroded shareholder protections, and hundreds of billions in planned capex for unproven Starship and orbital AI data centers have heightened regulatory exposure and execution risks. Early June roadshows and potential SEC scrutiny loom as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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