Polymarket traders have converged on a 99.9% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap falling in the $60B–$70B range, driven by the company's May 13, 2026, pricing at $185 per share, which implied a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion after raising $5.55 billion from 30 million shares—oversubscribed over 20 times amid explosive AI chip demand. This positioning reflects robust revenue growth to $510 million in 2025 from $290 million prior, newfound profitability, and major contracts with OpenAI and AWS, validating premium multiples over 100 times sales in the red-hot AI infrastructure sector. While the fixed IPO pricing cements consensus, rare challenges could arise from post-close SEC adjustments or share count disputes, though trader sentiment dismisses such risks given the landmark debut as 2026's largest IPO. Trading begins today under ticker CBRS on Nasdaq.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$60B–$70B 99.9%
<$50B <1%
$50B–$60B <1%
$70B–$80B <1%
$365,706 Обс.
$365,706 Обс.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
<1%
$50B–$60B
<1%
$60B–$70B
100%
$70B–$80B
<1%
$80B–$90B
<1%
$90B–$100B
<1%
$100B+
<1%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$60B–$70B 99.9%
<$50B <1%
$50B–$60B <1%
$70B–$80B <1%
$365,706 Обс.
$365,706 Обс.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
$63,574 Обс.
<1%
$50B–$60B
$33,039 Обс.
<1%
$60B–$70B
$53,433 Обс.
100%
$70B–$80B
$30,446 Обс.
<1%
$80B–$90B
$18,157 Обс.
<1%
$90B–$100B
$60,701 Обс.
<1%
$100B+
$90,348 Обс.
<1%
No IPO before July 2026
$21,007 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Polymarket traders have converged on a 99.9% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap falling in the $60B–$70B range, driven by the company's May 13, 2026, pricing at $185 per share, which implied a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion after raising $5.55 billion from 30 million shares—oversubscribed over 20 times amid explosive AI chip demand. This positioning reflects robust revenue growth to $510 million in 2025 from $290 million prior, newfound profitability, and major contracts with OpenAI and AWS, validating premium multiples over 100 times sales in the red-hot AI infrastructure sector. While the fixed IPO pricing cements consensus, rare challenges could arise from post-close SEC adjustments or share count disputes, though trader sentiment dismisses such risks given the landmark debut as 2026's largest IPO. Trading begins today under ticker CBRS on Nasdaq.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$365,706Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Polymarket traders have converged on a 99.9% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap falling in the $60B–$70B range, driven by the company's May 13, 2026, pricing at $185 per share, which implied a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion after raising $5.55 billion from 30 million shares—oversubscribed over 20 times amid explosive AI chip demand. This positioning reflects robust revenue growth to $510 million in 2025 from $290 million prior, newfound profitability, and major contracts with OpenAI and AWS, validating premium multiples over 100 times sales in the red-hot AI infrastructure sector. While the fixed IPO pricing cements consensus, rare challenges could arise from post-close SEC adjustments or share count disputes, though trader sentiment dismisses such risks given the landmark debut as 2026's largest IPO. Trading begins today under ticker CBRS on Nasdaq.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$365,706Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders have converged on a 99.9% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap falling in the $60B–$70B range, driven by the company's May 13, 2026, pricing at $185 per share, which implied a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion after raising $5.55 billion from 30 million shares—oversubscribed over 20 times amid explosive AI chip demand. This positioning reflects robust revenue growth to $510 million in 2025 from $290 million prior, newfound profitability, and major contracts with OpenAI and AWS, validating premium multiples over 100 times sales in the red-hot AI infrastructure sector. While the fixed IPO pricing cements consensus, rare challenges could arise from post-close SEC adjustments or share count disputes, though trader sentiment dismisses such risks given the landmark debut as 2026's largest IPO. Trading begins today under ticker CBRS on Nasdaq.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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