Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by credible reports targeting an October debut amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI and xAI. Recent Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures reveal the Claude developer in advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation—building on February's $380 billion Series G raise—prioritizing private capital to scale large language model capabilities and infrastructure via partners like Amazon and Google. Absent any S-1 filing or official announcement, typical IPO timelines leave little room for acceleration; only an unforeseen regulatory greenlight or executive pivot could shift odds in the final six weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоРинкова капіталізація закриття антропного IPO
Ринкова капіталізація закриття антропного IPO
Без IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 98.4%
600 млрд+ <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$1,269,546 Обс.
$1,269,546 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд+
1%
Без IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
98%
Без IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 98.4%
600 млрд+ <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$1,269,546 Обс.
$1,269,546 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
$256,438 Обс.
<1%
100–200 млрд
$89,677 Обс.
<1%
200–300 млрд
$145,631 Обс.
<1%
300–400 млрд
$97,009 Обс.
<1%
400–600 млрд
$156,420 Обс.
<1%
600 млрд+
$282,894 Обс.
1%
Без IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
$241,478 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by credible reports targeting an October debut amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI and xAI. Recent Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures reveal the Claude developer in advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation—building on February's $380 billion Series G raise—prioritizing private capital to scale large language model capabilities and infrastructure via partners like Amazon and Google. Absent any S-1 filing or official announcement, typical IPO timelines leave little room for acceleration; only an unforeseen regulatory greenlight or executive pivot could shift odds in the final six weeks.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,269,546Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by credible reports targeting an October debut amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI and xAI. Recent Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures reveal the Claude developer in advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation—building on February's $380 billion Series G raise—prioritizing private capital to scale large language model capabilities and infrastructure via partners like Amazon and Google. Absent any S-1 filing or official announcement, typical IPO timelines leave little room for acceleration; only an unforeseen regulatory greenlight or executive pivot could shift odds in the final six weeks.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,269,546Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by credible reports targeting an October debut amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI and xAI. Recent Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures reveal the Claude developer in advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation—building on February's $380 billion Series G raise—prioritizing private capital to scale large language model capabilities and infrastructure via partners like Amazon and Google. Absent any S-1 filing or official announcement, typical IPO timelines leave little room for acceleration; only an unforeseen regulatory greenlight or executive pivot could shift odds in the final six weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання