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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

icon for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%

<100B <1%

100–200B <1%

200–300B <1%

Polymarket

$1,856,891 Обс.

No IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%

<100B <1%

100–200B <1%

200–300B <1%

Polymarket

$1,856,891 Обс.

<100B

$325,456 Обс.

<1%

100–200B

$154,179 Обс.

<1%

200–300B

$180,971 Обс.

<1%

300–400B

$135,124 Обс.

<1%

400–600B

$249,507 Обс.

<1%

600B+

$347,775 Обс.

<1%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$463,879 Обс.

100%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,856,891
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,856,891
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «No IPO by June 30, 2026» з 100%, далі «<100B» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap» згенерував $1.9 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 22, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap» — «No IPO by June 30, 2026» з 100%. Наступний — «<100B» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.