Waymo’s rapid scaling of its robotaxi fleet, backed by a major 2025 funding round and repeated announcements of launches across additional U.S. markets, underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability for 16-19 cities by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 the company already provides paid autonomous service in roughly ten metros including Phoenix, the Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, and several Texas and Florida cities, while preparing driverless operations in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and others. Regulatory permits, mapping progress, and vehicle production capacity remain the key swing factors that could push totals into the low twenties or keep them closer to fifteen if rollout timelines slip.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-19 64%
12-15 24.9%
20-23 7%
<12 2.8%
$50,349 Обс.
$50,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
3%
12-15
25%
16-19
64%
20-23
7%
24-27
1%
28-31
2%
32+
2%
16-19 64%
12-15 24.9%
20-23 7%
<12 2.8%
$50,349 Обс.
$50,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
$3,906 Обс.
3%
12-15
$11,659 Обс.
25%
16-19
$8,598 Обс.
64%
20-23
$10,595 Обс.
7%
24-27
$8,797 Обс.
1%
28-31
$3,452 Обс.
2%
32+
$3,343 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid scaling of its robotaxi fleet, backed by a major 2025 funding round and repeated announcements of launches across additional U.S. markets, underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability for 16-19 cities by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 the company already provides paid autonomous service in roughly ten metros including Phoenix, the Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, and several Texas and Florida cities, while preparing driverless operations in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and others. Regulatory permits, mapping progress, and vehicle production capacity remain the key swing factors that could push totals into the low twenties or keep them closer to fifteen if rollout timelines slip.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$50,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid scaling of its robotaxi fleet, backed by a major 2025 funding round and repeated announcements of launches across additional U.S. markets, underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability for 16-19 cities by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 the company already provides paid autonomous service in roughly ten metros including Phoenix, the Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, and several Texas and Florida cities, while preparing driverless operations in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and others. Regulatory permits, mapping progress, and vehicle production capacity remain the key swing factors that could push totals into the low twenties or keep them closer to fifteen if rollout timelines slip.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$50,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s rapid scaling of its robotaxi fleet, backed by a major 2025 funding round and repeated announcements of launches across additional U.S. markets, underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability for 16-19 cities by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 the company already provides paid autonomous service in roughly ten metros including Phoenix, the Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, and several Texas and Florida cities, while preparing driverless operations in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and others. Regulatory permits, mapping progress, and vehicle production capacity remain the key swing factors that could push totals into the low twenties or keep them closer to fifteen if rollout timelines slip.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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