Waymo’s recent acceleration to 15 U.S. cities, capped by the Sept. 14 public launch in Las Vegas following invite-only rollouts in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa, has not shifted trader consensus toward aggressive year-end growth. The company’s 1-million-weekly-ride target explicitly references 20 cities globally, yet most announced next steps remain in testing or regulatory phases, with international entries such as Tokyo slated for 2027 and London/Munich still in validation. Strict market resolution criteria—requiring active paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—appear to discount planned or limited deployments, leaving the <12 and 12-15 buckets as the dominant outcomes given the short runway to Dec. 31 and typical multi-month ramp timelines for new markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
<12 60.6%
12-15 29.2%
16-19 11%
24-27 1.1%
$122,170 Обс.
$122,170 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
61%
12-15
29%
16-19
11%
20-23
<1%
24-27
1%
28-31
<1%
32+
<1%
<12 60.6%
12-15 29.2%
16-19 11%
24-27 1.1%
$122,170 Обс.
$122,170 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
$16,564 Обс.
61%
12-15
$39,260 Обс.
29%
16-19
$24,224 Обс.
11%
20-23
$16,562 Обс.
<1%
24-27
$13,881 Обс.
1%
28-31
$6,481 Обс.
<1%
32+
$5,199 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent acceleration to 15 U.S. cities, capped by the Sept. 14 public launch in Las Vegas following invite-only rollouts in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa, has not shifted trader consensus toward aggressive year-end growth. The company’s 1-million-weekly-ride target explicitly references 20 cities globally, yet most announced next steps remain in testing or regulatory phases, with international entries such as Tokyo slated for 2027 and London/Munich still in validation. Strict market resolution criteria—requiring active paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—appear to discount planned or limited deployments, leaving the <12 and 12-15 buckets as the dominant outcomes given the short runway to Dec. 31 and typical multi-month ramp timelines for new markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$122,170Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent acceleration to 15 U.S. cities, capped by the Sept. 14 public launch in Las Vegas following invite-only rollouts in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa, has not shifted trader consensus toward aggressive year-end growth. The company’s 1-million-weekly-ride target explicitly references 20 cities globally, yet most announced next steps remain in testing or regulatory phases, with international entries such as Tokyo slated for 2027 and London/Munich still in validation. Strict market resolution criteria—requiring active paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—appear to discount planned or limited deployments, leaving the <12 and 12-15 buckets as the dominant outcomes given the short runway to Dec. 31 and typical multi-month ramp timelines for new markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$122,170Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s recent acceleration to 15 U.S. cities, capped by the Sept. 14 public launch in Las Vegas following invite-only rollouts in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa, has not shifted trader consensus toward aggressive year-end growth. The company’s 1-million-weekly-ride target explicitly references 20 cities globally, yet most announced next steps remain in testing or regulatory phases, with international entries such as Tokyo slated for 2027 and London/Munich still in validation. Strict market resolution criteria—requiring active paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—appear to discount planned or limited deployments, leaving the <12 and 12-15 buckets as the dominant outcomes given the short runway to Dec. 31 and typical multi-month ramp timelines for new markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання