Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Технологія·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Технологія·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 98.8%

OpenAI <1%

Google <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,722,914 Обс.

Anthropic 98.8%

OpenAI <1%

Google <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,722,914 Обс.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$839,002 Обс.

99%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$697,835 Обс.

1%

icon for Google

Google

$334,031 Обс.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$417,181 Обс.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$179,449 Обс.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$83,811 Обс.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$65,015 Обс.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$139,721 Обс.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$34,848 Обс.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$348,820 Обс.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$182,177 Обс.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$28,749 Обс.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$88,965 Обс.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$39,539 Обс.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$15,148 Обс.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$34,406 Обс.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$36,341 Обс.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$19,597 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$71,085 Обс.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$22,501 Обс.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$44,694 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, leads independent leaderboards such as BenchAlign with an 84.58 score, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at roughly 83.8, driving the 98.7% market-implied odds for Anthropic holding the top AI model by month-end. Recent benchmark updates highlight its strengths in agentic tasks, coding, and knowledge work, reinforcing trader consensus on its current frontier position. With the resolution date only days away, limited room remains for a competitor to ship and validate a superior model. OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap through a rapid update or revised evaluation methodology, though such shifts would need swift, credible demonstration to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$3,722,914
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, leads independent leaderboards such as BenchAlign with an 84.58 score, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at roughly 83.8, driving the 98.7% market-implied odds for Anthropic holding the top AI model by month-end. Recent benchmark updates highlight its strengths in agentic tasks, coding, and knowledge work, reinforcing trader consensus on its current frontier position. With the resolution date only days away, limited room remains for a competitor to ship and validate a superior model. OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap through a rapid update or revised evaluation methodology, though such shifts would need swift, credible demonstration to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$3,722,914
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

97%
icon for Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

94%
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

89%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which company has the best AI model end of September?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Anthropic» з 99%, далі «OpenAI» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which company has the best AI model end of September?» згенерував $3.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which company has the best AI model end of September?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which company has the best AI model end of September?» — «Anthropic» з 99%. Наступний — «OpenAI» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which company has the best AI model end of September?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.