Google and Meta lead trader positioning for third place behind presumed frontrunners Anthropic and OpenAI on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with Style Control On. Recent September 2026 releases, including Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, have widened the top-two gap on composite benchmarks such as Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and LMSYS Elo, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark models maintain strong showings in coding, reasoning, and user-preference arenas. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 have narrowed capability deltas on select tasks, yet trail in overall lab ranking consistency. With roughly ten weeks until November resolution, further model updates or Arena methodology shifts could reorder the middle pack before final snapshot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
Google 29%
Meta 26%
Alibaba 11.3%
OpenAI 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
29%
Meta
26%
Alibaba
11%
OpenAI
10%
Xiaomi
9%
Thinky
11%
Tencent
5%
Meituan
5%
Z.ai
4%
Nvidia
4%
Baidu
3%
Mistral
3%
Amazon
3%
StepFun
3%
Anthropic
3%
ByteDance
2%
Moonshot
12%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 29%
Meta 26%
Alibaba 11.3%
OpenAI 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
$635 Обс.
29%
Meta
$893 Обс.
26%
Alibaba
$178 Обс.
11%
OpenAI
$250 Обс.
10%
Xiaomi
$198 Обс.
9%
Thinky
$175 Обс.
11%
Tencent
$545 Обс.
5%
Meituan
$457 Обс.
5%
Z.ai
$150 Обс.
4%
Nvidia
$150 Обс.
4%
Baidu
$150 Обс.
3%
Mistral
$141 Обс.
3%
Amazon
$150 Обс.
3%
StepFun
$150 Обс.
3%
Anthropic
$164 Обс.
3%
ByteDance
$150 Обс.
2%
Moonshot
$150 Обс.
12%
SpaceXAI
$139 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$150 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$150 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$150 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta lead trader positioning for third place behind presumed frontrunners Anthropic and OpenAI on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with Style Control On. Recent September 2026 releases, including Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, have widened the top-two gap on composite benchmarks such as Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and LMSYS Elo, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark models maintain strong showings in coding, reasoning, and user-preference arenas. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 have narrowed capability deltas on select tasks, yet trail in overall lab ranking consistency. With roughly ten weeks until November resolution, further model updates or Arena methodology shifts could reorder the middle pack before final snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,278Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta lead trader positioning for third place behind presumed frontrunners Anthropic and OpenAI on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with Style Control On. Recent September 2026 releases, including Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, have widened the top-two gap on composite benchmarks such as Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and LMSYS Elo, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark models maintain strong showings in coding, reasoning, and user-preference arenas. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 have narrowed capability deltas on select tasks, yet trail in overall lab ranking consistency. With roughly ten weeks until November resolution, further model updates or Arena methodology shifts could reorder the middle pack before final snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$5,278Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google and Meta lead trader positioning for third place behind presumed frontrunners Anthropic and OpenAI on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with Style Control On. Recent September 2026 releases, including Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, have widened the top-two gap on composite benchmarks such as Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and LMSYS Elo, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark models maintain strong showings in coding, reasoning, and user-preference arenas. Chinese labs including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 have narrowed capability deltas on select tasks, yet trail in overall lab ranking consistency. With roughly ten weeks until November resolution, further model updates or Arena methodology shifts could reorder the middle pack before final snapshot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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