Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release centers on unverified reports of an Opus 5.2 rollout this week, fueled by internal routing signals and X posts, as Anthropic responds to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra momentum ahead of a potential IPO. Following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, the tight spread between September 21–22 probabilities and the 19% chance of delay past September 30 highlights uncertainty over exact timing, safety reviews, and competitive positioning in the large language model landscape. Recent platform updates and Reuters reporting on unnamed model plans reinforce the near-term window without confirming details.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Opus released on...?
Next Claude Opus released on...?
September 21 30.5%
September 22 24%
No release by September 30 19%
September 24 15%
$25,950 Обс.
$25,950 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
September 19
<1%
September 20
1%
September 21
31%
September 22
24%
September 23
1%
September 24
15%
September 25
2%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
1%
September 29
10%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
19%
September 21 30.5%
September 22 24%
No release by September 30 19%
September 24 15%
$25,950 Обс.
$25,950 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
September 19
$669 Обс.
<1%
September 20
$1,149 Обс.
1%
September 21
$8,096 Обс.
31%
September 22
$2,068 Обс.
24%
September 23
$1,170 Обс.
1%
September 24
$2,575 Обс.
15%
September 25
$844 Обс.
2%
September 26
$578 Обс.
<1%
September 27
$776 Обс.
<1%
September 28
$544 Обс.
1%
September 29
$1,282 Обс.
10%
September 30
$1,366 Обс.
1%
No release by September 30
$3,521 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release centers on unverified reports of an Opus 5.2 rollout this week, fueled by internal routing signals and X posts, as Anthropic responds to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra momentum ahead of a potential IPO. Following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, the tight spread between September 21–22 probabilities and the 19% chance of delay past September 30 highlights uncertainty over exact timing, safety reviews, and competitive positioning in the large language model landscape. Recent platform updates and Reuters reporting on unnamed model plans reinforce the near-term window without confirming details.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$25,950Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release centers on unverified reports of an Opus 5.2 rollout this week, fueled by internal routing signals and X posts, as Anthropic responds to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra momentum ahead of a potential IPO. Following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, the tight spread between September 21–22 probabilities and the 19% chance of delay past September 30 highlights uncertainty over exact timing, safety reviews, and competitive positioning in the large language model landscape. Recent platform updates and Reuters reporting on unnamed model plans reinforce the near-term window without confirming details.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$25,950Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release centers on unverified reports of an Opus 5.2 rollout this week, fueled by internal routing signals and X posts, as Anthropic responds to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra momentum ahead of a potential IPO. Following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, the tight spread between September 21–22 probabilities and the 19% chance of delay past September 30 highlights uncertainty over exact timing, safety reviews, and competitive positioning in the large language model landscape. Recent platform updates and Reuters reporting on unnamed model plans reinforce the near-term window without confirming details.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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