**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Claude Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at half the price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 followed on September 1 with efficiency gains and expanded context windows. Unconfirmed reports from mid-September point to a possible September 17–18 or end-of-month drop, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and strong probabilities by month-end. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing safety refinements, and Anthropic’s pattern of rapid Opus iterations after major Fable/Mythos updates remain key swing factors, with any official blog post, API identifier, or benchmark update serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$121,463 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
80%
September 17
24%
September 20
47%
September 24
83%
September 27
67%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$121,463 Обс.
September 30
$60,543 Обс.
80%
September 17
$36 Обс.
24%
September 20
$296 Обс.
47%
September 24
$384 Обс.
83%
September 27
$41 Обс.
67%
October 31
$13,502 Обс.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Claude Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at half the price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 followed on September 1 with efficiency gains and expanded context windows. Unconfirmed reports from mid-September point to a possible September 17–18 or end-of-month drop, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and strong probabilities by month-end. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing safety refinements, and Anthropic’s pattern of rapid Opus iterations after major Fable/Mythos updates remain key swing factors, with any official blog post, API identifier, or benchmark update serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$121,463Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Claude Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at half the price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 followed on September 1 with efficiency gains and expanded context windows. Unconfirmed reports from mid-September point to a possible September 17–18 or end-of-month drop, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and strong probabilities by month-end. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing safety refinements, and Anthropic’s pattern of rapid Opus iterations after major Fable/Mythos updates remain key swing factors, with any official blog post, API identifier, or benchmark update serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$121,463Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Claude Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at half the price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 followed on September 1 with efficiency gains and expanded context windows. Unconfirmed reports from mid-September point to a possible September 17–18 or end-of-month drop, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and strong probabilities by month-end. Competitive pressure from other labs, ongoing safety refinements, and Anthropic’s pattern of rapid Opus iterations after major Fable/Mythos updates remain key swing factors, with any official blog post, API identifier, or benchmark update serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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