MiniMax’s H3 multimodal model, released in late July with open weights and native 2K image-to-video generation plus synchronized stereo audio, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability. Independent arenas show it leading or near the top in image-to-video benchmarks through September, bolstered by rapid community LoRAs, ComfyUI workflows, and distillation variants that improve speed and control without sacrificing fidelity. This combination of demonstrated capability, accessibility, and recent ecosystem momentum has solidified its position heading into the final week. A last-minute benchmark-topping update from competitors such as Google’s Veo series or ByteDance’s Seedance variants remains the most plausible scenario that could still shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
MiniMax 92%
SpaceXAI 42.9%
ByteDance 5.3%
Google 3.4%
$13,449 Обс.
$13,449 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
MiniMax
92%
SpaceXAI
43%
ByteDance
5%
3%
Black Forest Labs
3%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
3%
Pixverse
2%
Pruna
1%
Runway
1%
Shengshu
1%
Lightricks
<1%
Tencent
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Pika
<1%
MiniMax 92%
SpaceXAI 42.9%
ByteDance 5.3%
Google 3.4%
$13,449 Обс.
$13,449 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
MiniMax
$5,187 Обс.
92%
SpaceXAI
$292 Обс.
43%
ByteDance
$639 Обс.
5%
$2,617 Обс.
3%
Black Forest Labs
$262 Обс.
3%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$266 Обс.
3%
Pixverse
$273 Обс.
2%
Pruna
$265 Обс.
1%
Runway
$1,946 Обс.
1%
Shengshu
$293 Обс.
1%
Lightricks
$244 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$330 Обс.
<1%
KlingAI
$253 Обс.
<1%
Luma AI
$304 Обс.
<1%
Pika
$282 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax’s H3 multimodal model, released in late July with open weights and native 2K image-to-video generation plus synchronized stereo audio, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability. Independent arenas show it leading or near the top in image-to-video benchmarks through September, bolstered by rapid community LoRAs, ComfyUI workflows, and distillation variants that improve speed and control without sacrificing fidelity. This combination of demonstrated capability, accessibility, and recent ecosystem momentum has solidified its position heading into the final week. A last-minute benchmark-topping update from competitors such as Google’s Veo series or ByteDance’s Seedance variants remains the most plausible scenario that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,449Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax’s H3 multimodal model, released in late July with open weights and native 2K image-to-video generation plus synchronized stereo audio, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability. Independent arenas show it leading or near the top in image-to-video benchmarks through September, bolstered by rapid community LoRAs, ComfyUI workflows, and distillation variants that improve speed and control without sacrificing fidelity. This combination of demonstrated capability, accessibility, and recent ecosystem momentum has solidified its position heading into the final week. A last-minute benchmark-topping update from competitors such as Google’s Veo series or ByteDance’s Seedance variants remains the most plausible scenario that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$13,449Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...MiniMax’s H3 multimodal model, released in late July with open weights and native 2K image-to-video generation plus synchronized stereo audio, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability. Independent arenas show it leading or near the top in image-to-video benchmarks through September, bolstered by rapid community LoRAs, ComfyUI workflows, and distillation variants that improve speed and control without sacrificing fidelity. This combination of demonstrated capability, accessibility, and recent ecosystem momentum has solidified its position heading into the final week. A last-minute benchmark-topping update from competitors such as Google’s Veo series or ByteDance’s Seedance variants remains the most plausible scenario that could still shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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