Federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures remains stalled in the 119th Congress, with multiple introduced bills such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act failing to advance beyond committee amid partisan divides over regulatory scope. The Trump administration's March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework emphasizes a light-touch approach, federal preemption of state rules, and innovation priorities, while Senator Blackburn's TRUMP AMERICA AI Act draft has not yet reached markup. With lawmakers focused on appropriations, debt ceiling talks, and other agenda items, the absence of scheduled floor votes or bipartisan consensus through mid-2026 supports traders' 70.5% implied probability against enactment before December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$98,190 Обс.
$98,190 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$98,190 Обс.
$98,190 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures remains stalled in the 119th Congress, with multiple introduced bills such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act failing to advance beyond committee amid partisan divides over regulatory scope. The Trump administration's March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework emphasizes a light-touch approach, federal preemption of state rules, and innovation priorities, while Senator Blackburn's TRUMP AMERICA AI Act draft has not yet reached markup. With lawmakers focused on appropriations, debt ceiling talks, and other agenda items, the absence of scheduled floor votes or bipartisan consensus through mid-2026 supports traders' 70.5% implied probability against enactment before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$98,190Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures remains stalled in the 119th Congress, with multiple introduced bills such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act failing to advance beyond committee amid partisan divides over regulatory scope. The Trump administration's March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework emphasizes a light-touch approach, federal preemption of state rules, and innovation priorities, while Senator Blackburn's TRUMP AMERICA AI Act draft has not yet reached markup. With lawmakers focused on appropriations, debt ceiling talks, and other agenda items, the absence of scheduled floor votes or bipartisan consensus through mid-2026 supports traders' 70.5% implied probability against enactment before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$98,190Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures remains stalled in the 119th Congress, with multiple introduced bills such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act failing to advance beyond committee amid partisan divides over regulatory scope. The Trump administration's March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework emphasizes a light-touch approach, federal preemption of state rules, and innovation priorities, while Senator Blackburn's TRUMP AMERICA AI Act draft has not yet reached markup. With lawmakers focused on appropriations, debt ceiling talks, and other agenda items, the absence of scheduled floor votes or bipartisan consensus through mid-2026 supports traders' 70.5% implied probability against enactment before December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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