Anthropic's latest Haiku model, version 4.5, launched in October 2025 with extended thinking, computer use, and performance matching prior Sonnet models at lower cost and higher speed. As of mid-August 2026, the company has shipped the full Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 in June, Sonnet 5 in late June, and Opus 5 in July—without a corresponding Haiku refresh, continuing a pattern where lightweight models trail flagship releases by months. This gap reflects Anthropic's focus on scaling agentic capabilities and context windows in larger models first while maintaining Haiku's role as the fastest, lowest-latency option for high-volume use. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, API updates, or competitive pressure from models like Gemini Flash or GPT-4o mini that could accelerate a Haiku 5 or 4.6 release in late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
5%
October 31
59%
December 31
61%
$6,010 Обс.
August 31
$1,527 Обс.
5%
October 31
$791 Обс.
59%
December 31
$3,692 Обс.
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's latest Haiku model, version 4.5, launched in October 2025 with extended thinking, computer use, and performance matching prior Sonnet models at lower cost and higher speed. As of mid-August 2026, the company has shipped the full Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 in June, Sonnet 5 in late June, and Opus 5 in July—without a corresponding Haiku refresh, continuing a pattern where lightweight models trail flagship releases by months. This gap reflects Anthropic's focus on scaling agentic capabilities and context windows in larger models first while maintaining Haiku's role as the fastest, lowest-latency option for high-volume use. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, API updates, or competitive pressure from models like Gemini Flash or GPT-4o mini that could accelerate a Haiku 5 or 4.6 release in late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,010Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's latest Haiku model, version 4.5, launched in October 2025 with extended thinking, computer use, and performance matching prior Sonnet models at lower cost and higher speed. As of mid-August 2026, the company has shipped the full Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 in June, Sonnet 5 in late June, and Opus 5 in July—without a corresponding Haiku refresh, continuing a pattern where lightweight models trail flagship releases by months. This gap reflects Anthropic's focus on scaling agentic capabilities and context windows in larger models first while maintaining Haiku's role as the fastest, lowest-latency option for high-volume use. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, API updates, or competitive pressure from models like Gemini Flash or GPT-4o mini that could accelerate a Haiku 5 or 4.6 release in late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$6,010Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's latest Haiku model, version 4.5, launched in October 2025 with extended thinking, computer use, and performance matching prior Sonnet models at lower cost and higher speed. As of mid-August 2026, the company has shipped the full Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 in June, Sonnet 5 in late June, and Opus 5 in July—without a corresponding Haiku refresh, continuing a pattern where lightweight models trail flagship releases by months. This gap reflects Anthropic's focus on scaling agentic capabilities and context windows in larger models first while maintaining Haiku's role as the fastest, lowest-latency option for high-volume use. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, API updates, or competitive pressure from models like Gemini Flash or GPT-4o mini that could accelerate a Haiku 5 or 4.6 release in late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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