Anthropic’s aggressive 2026 release cadence—major Claude updates roughly every two weeks through mid-year—has shaped trader expectations for the next Sonnet iteration following the June 30 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic coding, tool use, and a 1M-token context window at mid-tier pricing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on frontier capabilities, combined with Anthropic’s internal focus on scaling agent workflows and safety benchmarks, keeps timelines tight, though the company’s responsible-scaling roadmap and September 30 moonshot R&D milestones could influence pacing. Traders monitor official announcements, API deprecations, and benchmark improvements for signals on whether Sonnet 6 arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
11%
October 31
54%
December 31
74%
$3,924 Обс.
August 31
$562 Обс.
11%
October 31
$257 Обс.
54%
December 31
$3,105 Обс.
74%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s aggressive 2026 release cadence—major Claude updates roughly every two weeks through mid-year—has shaped trader expectations for the next Sonnet iteration following the June 30 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic coding, tool use, and a 1M-token context window at mid-tier pricing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on frontier capabilities, combined with Anthropic’s internal focus on scaling agent workflows and safety benchmarks, keeps timelines tight, though the company’s responsible-scaling roadmap and September 30 moonshot R&D milestones could influence pacing. Traders monitor official announcements, API deprecations, and benchmark improvements for signals on whether Sonnet 6 arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,924Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s aggressive 2026 release cadence—major Claude updates roughly every two weeks through mid-year—has shaped trader expectations for the next Sonnet iteration following the June 30 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic coding, tool use, and a 1M-token context window at mid-tier pricing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on frontier capabilities, combined with Anthropic’s internal focus on scaling agent workflows and safety benchmarks, keeps timelines tight, though the company’s responsible-scaling roadmap and September 30 moonshot R&D milestones could influence pacing. Traders monitor official announcements, API deprecations, and benchmark improvements for signals on whether Sonnet 6 arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$3,924Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s aggressive 2026 release cadence—major Claude updates roughly every two weeks through mid-year—has shaped trader expectations for the next Sonnet iteration following the June 30 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic coding, tool use, and a 1M-token context window at mid-tier pricing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on frontier capabilities, combined with Anthropic’s internal focus on scaling agent workflows and safety benchmarks, keeps timelines tight, though the company’s responsible-scaling roadmap and September 30 moonshot R&D milestones could influence pacing. Traders monitor official announcements, API deprecations, and benchmark improvements for signals on whether Sonnet 6 arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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