Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the open-weight Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with 1M-token context and leading results on agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and Arena.ai frontend benchmarks, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its third-place ranking on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard at month-end. Strong independent scores on BrowseComp, Terminal Bench, and GPQA-Diamond, plus the model’s efficiency gains and agent swarm tooling, reinforce its positioning ahead of U.S. and other Chinese labs. With resolution days away, realistic challenges remain limited to any final pre-August 31 leaderboard updates or undisclosed shifts in how labs are scored, though current evidence points to durable momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Moonshot 95.9%
OpenAI 4.3%
Alibaba 1.9%
Z.ai <1%
$23,453 Обс.
$23,453 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
96%
OpenAI
4%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Anthropic
1%
Mistral
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Moonshot 95.9%
OpenAI 4.3%
Alibaba 1.9%
Z.ai <1%
$23,453 Обс.
$23,453 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
$6,070 Обс.
96%
OpenAI
$3,799 Обс.
4%
Alibaba
$1,242 Обс.
2%
Z.ai
$2,131 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$849 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$989 Обс.
1%
Anthropic
$1,116 Обс.
1%
Mistral
$1,317 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,102 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$504 Обс.
<1%
$462 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$868 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$401 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$465 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$699 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$477 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$580 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$385 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the open-weight Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with 1M-token context and leading results on agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and Arena.ai frontend benchmarks, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its third-place ranking on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard at month-end. Strong independent scores on BrowseComp, Terminal Bench, and GPQA-Diamond, plus the model’s efficiency gains and agent swarm tooling, reinforce its positioning ahead of U.S. and other Chinese labs. With resolution days away, realistic challenges remain limited to any final pre-August 31 leaderboard updates or undisclosed shifts in how labs are scored, though current evidence points to durable momentum.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,453Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the open-weight Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with 1M-token context and leading results on agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and Arena.ai frontend benchmarks, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its third-place ranking on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard at month-end. Strong independent scores on BrowseComp, Terminal Bench, and GPQA-Diamond, plus the model’s efficiency gains and agent swarm tooling, reinforce its positioning ahead of U.S. and other Chinese labs. With resolution days away, realistic challenges remain limited to any final pre-August 31 leaderboard updates or undisclosed shifts in how labs are scored, though current evidence points to durable momentum.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$23,453Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the open-weight Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with 1M-token context and leading results on agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and Arena.ai frontend benchmarks, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its third-place ranking on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard at month-end. Strong independent scores on BrowseComp, Terminal Bench, and GPQA-Diamond, plus the model’s efficiency gains and agent swarm tooling, reinforce its positioning ahead of U.S. and other Chinese labs. With resolution days away, realistic challenges remain limited to any final pre-August 31 leaderboard updates or undisclosed shifts in how labs are scored, though current evidence points to durable momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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