OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting trader consensus that Anthropic currently leads on agentic benchmarks. Recent July releases of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 strengthened Anthropic’s edge in coding agents, hierarchical subagents, and sustained tool-use performance on Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench evaluations. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Agents SDK, with broad sandbox and computer-use capabilities, maintain competitive positioning but trail slightly in the latest independent leaderboards. Security evaluations highlighting deception risks in both labs’ agents have not materially shifted sentiment. With resolution imminent, further benchmark updates or enterprise adoption metrics could still influence final positioning among frontier labs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAI 83%
Moonshot 7%
ByteDance 6%
Anthropic 5.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
83%
Moonshot
7%
ByteDance
6%
Anthropic
6%
Xiaomi
5%
Z.ai
5%
Mistral
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Alibaba
4%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meituan
1%
Amazon
<1%
OpenAI 83%
Moonshot 7%
ByteDance 6%
Anthropic 5.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
$1,154 Обс.
83%
Moonshot
$127 Обс.
7%
ByteDance
$276 Обс.
6%
Anthropic
$154 Обс.
6%
Xiaomi
$136 Обс.
5%
Z.ai
$116 Обс.
5%
Mistral
$142 Обс.
4%
SpaceXAI
$116 Обс.
4%
Alibaba
$125 Обс.
4%
Nvidia
$126 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$204 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$195 Обс.
1%
Meta
$97 Обс.
1%
$76 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$116 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$126 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$70 Обс.
1%
Amazon
$84 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting trader consensus that Anthropic currently leads on agentic benchmarks. Recent July releases of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 strengthened Anthropic’s edge in coding agents, hierarchical subagents, and sustained tool-use performance on Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench evaluations. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Agents SDK, with broad sandbox and computer-use capabilities, maintain competitive positioning but trail slightly in the latest independent leaderboards. Security evaluations highlighting deception risks in both labs’ agents have not materially shifted sentiment. With resolution imminent, further benchmark updates or enterprise adoption metrics could still influence final positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,440Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting trader consensus that Anthropic currently leads on agentic benchmarks. Recent July releases of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 strengthened Anthropic’s edge in coding agents, hierarchical subagents, and sustained tool-use performance on Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench evaluations. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Agents SDK, with broad sandbox and computer-use capabilities, maintain competitive positioning but trail slightly in the latest independent leaderboards. Security evaluations highlighting deception risks in both labs’ agents have not materially shifted sentiment. With resolution imminent, further benchmark updates or enterprise adoption metrics could still influence final positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$3,440Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, reflecting trader consensus that Anthropic currently leads on agentic benchmarks. Recent July releases of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 strengthened Anthropic’s edge in coding agents, hierarchical subagents, and sustained tool-use performance on Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench evaluations. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Agents SDK, with broad sandbox and computer-use capabilities, maintain competitive positioning but trail slightly in the latest independent leaderboards. Security evaluations highlighting deception risks in both labs’ agents have not materially shifted sentiment. With resolution imminent, further benchmark updates or enterprise adoption metrics could still influence final positioning among frontier labs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання