Traders view the race for second place in Text Arena math capabilities by late November as highly uncertain, with multiple AI labs clustered in implied probabilities reflecting fragmented progress in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic and Google lead the field on market sentiment thanks to iterative improvements in large language models that enhance chain-of-thought reasoning and multi-step problem solving, yet OpenAI’s broader dominance leaves room for challengers. Recent releases from labs like Alibaba and DeepSeek have shown targeted gains on math benchmarks, but inconsistent performance across evaluations and the pace of capability jumps keep outcomes fluid. Upcoming model updates and fresh arena results remain the main swing factors for trader positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Google 29%
Anthropic 25%
Baidu 20.3%
OpenAI 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
29%
Anthropic
25%
Baidu
20%
OpenAI
18%
Alibaba
14%
Moonshot
9%
Z.ai
9%
Mistral
5%
DeepSeek
4%
Meituan
4%
Amazon
3%
ByteDance
21%
MiniMax
20%
Thinky
19%
Meta
20%
Xiaomi
15%
Microsoft
12%
Nvidia
23%
Tencent
20%
StepFun
9%
SpaceXAI
29%
Google 29%
Anthropic 25%
Baidu 20.3%
OpenAI 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
$369 Обс.
29%
Anthropic
$508 Обс.
25%
Baidu
$90 Обс.
20%
OpenAI
$74 Обс.
18%
Alibaba
$64 Обс.
14%
Moonshot
$314 Обс.
9%
Z.ai
$71 Обс.
9%
Mistral
$236 Обс.
5%
DeepSeek
$288 Обс.
4%
Meituan
$66 Обс.
4%
Amazon
$373 Обс.
3%
ByteDance
$64 Обс.
21%
MiniMax
$48 Обс.
20%
Thinky
$78 Обс.
19%
Meta
$65 Обс.
20%
Xiaomi
$67 Обс.
15%
Microsoft
$92 Обс.
12%
Nvidia
$65 Обс.
23%
Tencent
$47 Обс.
20%
StepFun
$66 Обс.
9%
SpaceXAI
$48 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second place in Text Arena math capabilities by late November as highly uncertain, with multiple AI labs clustered in implied probabilities reflecting fragmented progress in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic and Google lead the field on market sentiment thanks to iterative improvements in large language models that enhance chain-of-thought reasoning and multi-step problem solving, yet OpenAI’s broader dominance leaves room for challengers. Recent releases from labs like Alibaba and DeepSeek have shown targeted gains on math benchmarks, but inconsistent performance across evaluations and the pace of capability jumps keep outcomes fluid. Upcoming model updates and fresh arena results remain the main swing factors for trader positions.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,091Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second place in Text Arena math capabilities by late November as highly uncertain, with multiple AI labs clustered in implied probabilities reflecting fragmented progress in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic and Google lead the field on market sentiment thanks to iterative improvements in large language models that enhance chain-of-thought reasoning and multi-step problem solving, yet OpenAI’s broader dominance leaves room for challengers. Recent releases from labs like Alibaba and DeepSeek have shown targeted gains on math benchmarks, but inconsistent performance across evaluations and the pace of capability jumps keep outcomes fluid. Upcoming model updates and fresh arena results remain the main swing factors for trader positions.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$3,091Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the race for second place in Text Arena math capabilities by late November as highly uncertain, with multiple AI labs clustered in implied probabilities reflecting fragmented progress in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic and Google lead the field on market sentiment thanks to iterative improvements in large language models that enhance chain-of-thought reasoning and multi-step problem solving, yet OpenAI’s broader dominance leaves room for challengers. Recent releases from labs like Alibaba and DeepSeek have shown targeted gains on math benchmarks, but inconsistent performance across evaluations and the pace of capability jumps keep outcomes fluid. Upcoming model updates and fresh arena results remain the main swing factors for trader positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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